Die Rahmenbedingungen für unser Hauptszenario haben sich in den vergangenen Wochen geändert. Im Zuge des nochmals kräftig gefallenen Rohölpreises sind die Inflationsraten stärker gesunken als prognostiziert. Zudem sind die Staatsanleihekäufe der EZB, die von uns seit Sommer 2014 erwartet werden, umfangreicher ausgefallen als angenommen. Hinzu kommt, dass die EZB einen Kaufnachschlag nunmehr schon Ende Januar in Aussicht gestellt hat; hiermit hatten wir erst für das zweite Halbjahr 2015 gerechnet. Aufgrund dieser Entwicklungen haben wir auf unserem monatlichen Prognose-Meeting die nachstehenden Änderungen vorgenommen.
- Inflationsprognosen gesenkt
Der Rohölpreis ist im Januar um rund 19% gegenüber Vormonat gesunken (Dezember: -20,4%). Damit
- Inflationsprognosen gesenkt
Der Rohölpreis ist im Januar um rund 19% gegenüber Vormonat gesunken (Dezember: -20,4%). Damit
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