Im scharfen Gegensatz zu Brasilien steht Mexiko vor einem Wachstums- und Reformschub. Die größte Gefahr für die mexikanische Volkswirtschaft ist ihre Sensitivität gegenüber Kapitalabflüssen. Das liegt daran, dass sich ein Großteil der mexikanischen Staatsanleihen in ausländischem Eigentum befindet und der mexikanische Peso die am aktivsten gehandelte Währung der Emerging Markets ist.
Zugleich ist Mexiko einer der wenigen Wachstumsmärkte ohne wesentliche Makro-Ungleichgewichte. Leistungs- und Haushaltsdefizite des Landes sind gering, es besteht kein Inflationsproblem; Kredit- und Lohnwachstum sind seit zwei Jahrzehnten niedrig; das Konsumwachstum ist moderat, die Schuldenquoten niedrig. Damit hat Mexiko einen immensen Vorteil gegenüber anderen Emerging Markets, die unhaltbare Makro-Ungleichgewichte
Zugleich ist Mexiko einer der wenigen Wachstumsmärkte ohne wesentliche Makro-Ungleichgewichte. Leistungs- und Haushaltsdefizite des Landes sind gering, es besteht kein Inflationsproblem; Kredit- und Lohnwachstum sind seit zwei Jahrzehnten niedrig; das Konsumwachstum ist moderat, die Schuldenquoten niedrig. Damit hat Mexiko einen immensen Vorteil gegenüber anderen Emerging Markets, die unhaltbare Makro-Ungleichgewichte
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